Dissent in full bloom: Obama’s proposed entitlement spending sparked a wave of protests from Democrats on the Hill.
By Charlie Cook
My National Journal colleague Ron Brownstein wrote a column
for last week’s magazine that I thought was the most important piece of
the week. In it, he argues that “large portions of the Democratic base
still don’t understand the political and economic dynamics of the
party’s changing electoral coalition.” Brownstein is absolutely right.
For liberals, Democrats, and others to argue that Social Security and
Medicare should not be touched in any way sends the message that we are
just going to run up the tab and send the bill to the millennial and
subsequent generations. Given the size of baby-boom generation—the
so-called pig in the python, whose leading edge began turning 65 in
2010—this is a very big tab for the smaller generations that will
follow.
Brownstein says Obama’s newly released budget is “seeking to restrain
entitlement spending while invigorating public investment (through
initiatives such as expanded preschool, an infrastructure bank, and more
college aid). That combination would challenge the federal budget’s
hardening tendency to favor the old over the young. Through proposed
changes in the way inflation is calculated to determine Social Security
benefits, more cost-sharing for Medicare recipients, and cost savings
from drug companies and health providers, the president is looking to
reduce entitlement spending by about $800 billion over 10 years.”
Given the central role younger voters play for the Democratic Party,
it’s ironic that so many congressional Democrats are taking this view on
entitlements. These Democrats are basically taking the side of a
generation who voted against them rather than that of the younger
generation that strongly supports the party. As Brownstein puts it,
“they are favoring the predominantly white senior population, which cast
about three-fifths of its votes for Republicans in last year’s
presidential and congressional elections, over the diverse millennial
generation, which voted about three-fifths Democratic on both fronts.”
We often hear the argument made that seniors are simply saying, “We
paid into Social Security and Medicare, it’s our money.” This ignores
the fact that most Americans draw down from Social Security and Medicare
far more than they ever paid in—in Medicare, almost $3 received for
every $1 contributed in many cases. Both are unsustainable as it is, but
it’s the Flat Earth Society members who choose to ignore the numbers
and pretend that we can just go on. Liberals and Democrats love to refer
to conservatives and Republicans as science-deniers on issues such as
climate change, but in this case, those who refuse to address the
entitlement challenge are statistics-deniers.
The argument that these Democrats and liberals should be making to
voters is this: Who should you trust to address the challenges of
fixing Social Security and Medicare, the party that created the
programs, or the party that was largely opposed to the establishment of
both? It is precisely because Democrats have the credibility on these
issues to address the problems that they should step forward.
Aside from the political arguments, there is the moral one of
generational fairness. In his column, Brownstein points to figures the
Office of Management and Budget recently released showing that in 1969,
“payments to individuals (primarily entitlements) and investments in the
future (defined as education and training, scientific research, and
infrastructure) each constituted about one-third of the federal budget.
By 2012, payments to individuals had reached 65 percent of the
budget—and investments had plummeted to just 14 percent.” He cites an
Urban Institute study that calculated that “Washington now spends seven
times as much per senior citizen as it does per child.”
History has shown that any society that spends more on the present
rather than investing in the future is doomed to a dismal future. That
is precisely what my generation, the baby boomers, has done. Our
parents’ and grandparents’ generations sacrificed the present for the
future, for example by investing in an interstate highway system and
national infrastructure that was exceedingly forward-thinking but is now
decaying. In more-recent years, infrastructure spending has declined,
parallel to the quality of our elementary and secondary education. For
the first time in American history, parents can no longer confidently
say that the future for their children is brighter than it was for them
at that age.
We’ve heard and read a lot from liberals and Democrats pointing to
Republicans as having become captive to their base and constituency
groups at the expense of the national interest. Now it’s time for them
to take a look in the mirror.
No comments:
Post a Comment