President Obama was already suffering one of the
worst imaginable months for an incumbent president in an election year –
including a dismal jobs report and declining factory orders, falling
approval ratings (including in swing states), the overwhelming victory
of Governor Scott Walker in Wisconsin, the president’s widely ridiculed
claim the private sector is “doing fine,” Bill Clinton’s various
apostasies, the realization that Obama might be outspent in this
election by Mitt Romney, and a major speech in Ohio that was panned even
by sympathetic liberals. (Jim Geraghty provides a nice summary and
analysis here.)
But it may be that the first half of June was a walk in the park
compared to the latter part of the month. Because two events – one which
just happened and one that will happen next week – may turn out to be
powerful, and even crippling, body blows to the president.
The first one is the burgeoning “Fast and Furious” scandal, which has
now been elevated from a secondary story to a major one. The
president’s assertion of executive privilege is without foundation–a
transparent effort to protect his attorney general, and possibly
himself, from a legitimate congressional inquiry about a scandalous
policy failure. The more this story unwinds, the more obvious this will
become.
The man who promised us a “new standard of openness” and the “most transparent and accountable administration in history,” who said
his administration would create “an unprecedented level of openness in
government” and would “work together to ensure the public trust and
establish a system of transparency, public participation, and
collaboration” is now engaged in what could reasonably be construed to
be a cover up. (If you’d like your belly laugh for the day, you might
take a look at this document,
Open Government 2.0 (!), put out by the Department of Justice – which
claims, “The Department of Justice is committed to achieving the
president’s goal of making this the most transparent administration in
history.”)
This is Obama’s first bona fide, full-scale scandal. The
president, with his assertion of executive privilege, has now placed
himself at the center of the storm. And he’s done so with less than 140
days before the election. One can only imagine what the administration
has to hide in order for Obama to have done what he did.
In addition, next week, the Supreme Court will in all likelihood
announce its decision on the constitutionality of the Affordable Care
Act. If the Court overturns the ACA, in whole or in part, it will be
devastating to the president. After all, his signature domestic
achievement — one which dominated American politics for much of Obama’s
first term — will not only have been judged to be unconstitutional; it
will also have proven to be a colossal waste of the country’s time and
energy. And even if the Court doesn’t overturn the Affordable Care Act,
it will thrust to the fore what presidential scholar George C. Edwards
III calls “perhaps the least popular major domestic policy passed in the
last century” (which helps explain why the president rarely speaks
about this “achievement” in the run-up to the election).
Elections are rarely decided in June, and this one won’t be, either.
But history may look back at this as the month when the president fell
behind Romney and never fully recovered.
We’ll know soon enough.
1 comment:
unsettling...
The music too...
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