21 April 2013

Angela Merkel Has Made Germany Master Of Europe In A Way Hitler And Kaiser Wilhelm Only Dreamt Of. The Implications Are Frightening.




Mrs Merkel is 'the uncrowned Queen of Europe'

Mrs Merkel is 'the uncrowned Queen of Europe'



By Dominic Sandbrook


Angela Merkel does not look like a conqueror. She is no great speaker, has little physical presence and hardly exudes charisma. Indeed, to the casual observer, this short, unprepossessing woman might be a suburban German housewife.

Yet according to one of Germany's most distinguished intellectuals, Mrs Merkel is 'the uncrowned Queen of Europe'. In the European power stakes, no one comes close to competing with the German Chancellor.

Most recently, faraway Cyprus has fallen under her sway, with Mrs Merkel ordering a stunning raid on savers' bank accounts in return for an £8.5 billion bailout of the island's ailing economy.

In countries such as Cyprus and Greece, which have felt the lash of German-imposed austerity, the German Chancellor has become a public hate figure, with protesters regularly likening her to the war criminals of the Third Reich.

But in a sense, the hatred is a tribute to her success. For in just a few years, using the European Union as her vehicle, she has succeeded where Bismarck, Kaiser Wilhelm II and Hitler failed - turning an entire continent into a greater German empire.

Melodramatic? Perhaps. 

But this is the implication of a devastating new book by the eminent sociologist Ulrich Beck, who teaches at the University of Munich and the London School of Economics.

According to Professor Beck, one of the most respected scholars of his generation, Germany is now the undisputed master of Europe. And at its head is Angela Merkel, a former chemist from East Germany and a political mastermind of extraordinary cunning, subtlety and ambition.

No politician of her generation, Beck argues, better incarnates the cynical values described by the Italian thinker Niccolo Machiavelli, whose treatise The Prince was a primer in how to win and wield power. 

Hence Beck's nickname for Germany's Iron Chancellor: 'Merkiavelli'.

On the face of it, Professor Beck's analysis looks overblown.  But people have been writing Angela Merkel off for her entire career, and they always live to regret it.

Like Margaret Thatcher, whom Mrs Merkel recently praised as 'an extraordinary leader' who helped to end the Cold War and 'set an example' for women in high office, the German chancellor came from a relatively humble background.

Indeed, had it not been for Thatcher, the Berlin Wall might never have come down in 1989 and the world might never have heard of Angela Merkel, who was born in 1954 and grew up in Communist East Germany, the daughter of a Protestant pastor, Horst Kasner.


After East Germany was absorbed into the triumphant West, Merkel was elected to the new German parliament

After East Germany was absorbed into the triumphant West, Merkel was elected to the new German parliament


In an intriguing parallel with Lady Thatcher, Mrs Merkel also became a research chemist.

But by the time the Berlin Wall came down, she had become involved with the anti-Communist freedom movement. 

And after East Germany was absorbed into the triumphant West, she was elected to the new German parliament, representing a little constituency in the northern state of Mecklenburg- West Pomerania.

Even then, few people anticipated how far this solid, serious woman from the formerly Communist east would rise. And yet by 2005, as leader of the conservative Christian Democrat party, she had become the first woman Chancellor in German history.In some ways the key to Mrs Merkel's appeal is her sheer dullness. Since no German can forget the dangers of extreme political idealism, many are drawn to the apparent banality of this quiet woman.



Germany is the biggest economy in Europe and the fourth biggest in the world. It is the world's second largest exporter, raking in some £915 billion every year


It speaks volumes that when she was asked what defined her Germany, Angela Merkel replied: 'I think of airtight windows! No other country can build such airtight and beautiful windows.'

And yet as Professor Beck shows us in his blistering indictment of Germany's modern-day economic domination, there is another side to Europe's uncrowned queen.

Mrs Merkel came to power at a turning point in German history. Indeed, I would argue that never before has Germany enjoyed such prestige, security and raw economic power.

It is easy to forget that Germany did not even exist as a unified country until the mid-Victorian era. It was only in 1871 that the myriad political bodies on German territory - almost incredibly, there were more than 300 of them at the beginning of the 19th century - were united under the leadership of the Prussian king Wilhelm II, who became Kaiser (emperor) of the new Germany. Although German firms boomed in the next few decades, rapidly overtaking their British rivals, the new state never lost a sense of insecurity.

As the former American diplomat Henry Kissinger, who was born in Bavaria, once remarked, it was Germany's tragedy that it was 'too big for Europe, but too small for the world' - a diagnosis that remains as true today as it was of the Kaiser's anxious empire.


In 1871 the myriad political bodies on German territory were united under the leadership of king Wilhelm II

In 1871 the myriad political bodies on German territory were united under the leadership of king Wilhelm II



Indeed, this neurotic, adolescent desire to prove itself drove the Kaiser's Germany to humiliating disaster in World War I. Defeat inevitably bred resentment.

There can be few schoolboys who do not know the outline of what happened next, from the chilling rise of Hitler and his Nazi thugs to the establishment of the death camps, the mass murder of the Jews, the terrible crimes on the Eastern Front and the conquest and loss of a vast European empire.

During the years that followed, the scars of defeat were deeply etched into German society.

Yet Germany's neighbours feared that it might rise again - especially the hapless French, who had seen their territory occupied by their eastern rivals no fewer than three times in a century. And it was this anxiety that lay behind the foundation of the European Union, which was designed in the Fifties as a way of containing and controlling Germany's enormous political and economic potential.

Slowly and steadily, however, the Germans began to flex their muscles again.

They no longer dreamed of a great military empire. But then, why would they? Thanks to their excellent labour relations, far-sighted management, steady politicians and ferocious work ethic, their economy was fast becoming the strongest in Europe.

Today, the facts and figures make eye-watering reading for those of us in less wealthy, less productive countries.

Angela Merkel's Germany is the biggest economy in Europe and the fourth biggest in the world. It is the world's second largest exporter, raking in some £915 billion every year.

And while Britain's budget deficit in 2012/3 is forecast to be a whopping £120 bn - or eight per cent of our gross domestic product - the Germans are expected to run a small surplus in 2013 and 2014, as they have done so often in recent years.

All of that has left Mrs Merkel in an extraordinarily strong position. Uniquely amid the shattered economies of the eurozone, Germany stands relatively unscarred from the great financial crisis. Yet has she used her unprecedented power for good or ill? Professor Beck thinks the latter, and I agree with him.

Many experts always believed that the euro was a disaster, because it yoked together wildly diverse European economies without any strong, democratically accountable central authority to keep them honest.


Germany's Chancellor has 'seized the opportunity that presented itself to her to restructure power relations'

Germany's Chancellor has 'seized the opportunity that presented itself to her to restructure power relations'


The result, sadly but predictably, was the shameful irresponsibility and terrible implosion of the Greek, Irish Spanish and Portuguese economies, with even relatively strong economies like Italy and France tottering, too.

The sensible thing would have been to plan for an orderly euro break-up. It would have been enormously painful and traumatic in the short term. 

But the alternative - the imposition of savage austerity by Berlin and Brussels, leaving tens of millions of ordinary Greeks, Spaniards and Portuguese in the economic equivalent of the gutter - seemed too dreadful to contemplate. 




Angela Merkel has made Germany the undisputed master of Europe. Not bad for a pastor's daughter from rural Brandenburg


Alas, it was this second course that Mrs Merkel chose. Under her aegis, writes Professor Beck, 'entire regions have been plunged into social decline and countless people have been deprived of their livelihoods, their dignity, their future - and, not least, their faith in Europe.'

Her rationale, he thinks, was clear. With a cunning worthy of Machiavelli, Germany's Chancellor has 'seized the opportunity that presented itself to her to restructure power relations in Europe'.

For by imposing austerity on the stricken countries of the eurozone, Mrs Merkel has not only kept her beloved euro alive. But by making her neighbours ever more dependent on Berlin's support, she has effectively created a vast neo-colonial market for German goods.

Germany's position in this regard is doubly insidious: if it allowed the smaller nations to leave the euro and devalue their old currencies, their exports would be cheaper for other countries and thus would rise. 

At the same time, Germany would see the value of its currency, still the euro, rise, thereby making its exports much more expensive and damaging German business.

No wonder Mrs Merkel is determined that will not happen. For clear-sighted observers like Ulrich Beck, this is imperialism in all but name. 'Germany,' he writes sadly, 'has no need to invade, and yet it is ubiquitous.' Not surprisingly, resentment runs high. 


Mrs Merkel calmly bides her time, secure in the knowledge that thanks to her neighbours' terrible indebtedness, they have no option but to beg her for support

Mrs Merkel calmly bides her time, secure in the knowledge that thanks to her neighbours' terrible indebtedness, they have no option but to beg her for support


In the impoverished countries of Mediterranean Europe, where unemployment rates have hit 25 per cent and millions of youngsters have no prospect of getting a job, Mrs Merkel is widely seen as the grim face of German imperialism.

When she visited Madrid last year, hundreds of demonstrators waved banners reading 'No to a German Europe'. 'The German financial mafia is taking Spaniards hostage,' explained one Spanish economist. 'Merkel belongs to a political class that serves German oligarchies.'

But since countries like Spain are so badly indebted - largely, it must be said, because of their own irresponsible profligacy -they have little choice but to comply.

'Only one fate is worse than being overwhelmed by German money,' writes Professor Beck, 'and that is not being overwhelmed by German money.'

Instead of charging in to assert her power, Mrs Merkel calmly bides her time, secure in the knowledge that thanks to her neighbours' terrible indebtedness, they have no option but to beg her for support. Professor Beck calls this 'hesitation as a means of coercion', with the Germans presenting themselves as the 'schoolmasters of Europe', waiting patiently for their errant pupils to fall into line.

Even Cyprus, where Mrs Merkel provoked outrage with her demand for bank customers to pay a whopping levy from their savings in return for a bailout, was forced to capitulate eventually.

And so it is that the former research chemist from the east has secured 'Germany's rise to the position of hegemonic power in Europe'.

As Professor Beck notes, she lives up to Machiavelli's famous precept that a successful leader must choose between being feared and being loved.
In much of Europe, she inspires more fear than any other leader for decades.
Yet in her native Germany, Mrs Merkel is hugely popular.

And I can see why. The Germans have worked hard to become Europe's top dogs, and unlike their neighbours they have managed their finances with scrupulous responsibility.

Little wonder, then, that her countrymen applaud a Chancellor who lectures the rest of Europe about their failings and has seized the opportunity to turn the European Union into a compliant market for German manufactured goods.

Yet Mrs Merkel's project carries the seeds of a terrible danger.

Only last month, the former president of the European Council, Jean-Claude Juncker, warned that the 'demons' of nationalism and war are stirring in Europe.

And last year, the respected billionaire investor George Soros warned that the result of Angela Merkel's policies would be 'a Europe in which Germany is seen as an imperial power that will not be loved or admired by the rest, but hated and resisted, because it will be perceived as an oppressive power'.

But Mrs Merkel is not for turning. So the great machine of German-imposed austerity rumbles on, crushing the hopes and livelihoods of millions of European youngsters beneath its wheels.

Of course it is all too easy to overlook the stolid, uncharismatic woman who sits in judgment on her neighbours. Even now many foreign observers struggle to take her seriously.

But the stark reality is that Angela Merkel has succeeded where so many of her predecessors, with their strutting militarism, peaked helmets and soaring rhetoric, failed. She has made Germany the undisputed master of Europe.

Not bad for a pastor's daughter from rural Brandenburg. But as her career has shown, Merkiavelli always has the last laugh.


German Europe by Ulrich Beck is published by Polity Press at £16.99.



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